Event Calendar | Grand Prix Standings | Race Results | Subscribe to racePacket |
Sign the Guestbook | About racePacket | Cool Sites | On-Line Store |
The 2004-2005 Shenandoah Valley Runners Winter Series began winding down on Saturday 26 February 2005 with the Predicted Time 4 Miler, the seventh and penultimate race in the series. Held for the third year at the Stonebrook Racquet & Fitness Club just outside of Winchester, the race was marked this year by a chilly 34° breeze and the usual relentlessly rolling hills on the out-and-back course through the Stonebrook Farms community. Perhaps the course's reputation contributed to the fifty-three runner turnout-- the second lowest turnout of this year's series and the lowest turnout at any of the SVR's Predicted Time races since 1998. (The event has often seen lower-than-average crowds, though-- which is perplexing given the large number of runners who live in and around Winchester!)
This was, of course, a "predicted time" event, meaning that the runners got to try and predict just how fast they'd be able to cover the four mile course. Runners recorded their guesses when they registered for the race, and then everyone had to run the race without the assistance of watches or other timing devices. Those whose final times came the closest to their pre-race predictions got to grab a low-budget prize off our prize table. After all the numbers were crunched, 23-year-old Michelle VanHorn and 66-year-old Doug Morris emerged as this year's top prognosticators. Both predicted their times exactly! They're only the third and fourth runners to do so in the past six editions of the event. Neal Riemenschneider, 50, also fared well, overshooting his predicted time by just one second, while Ian Morris, 26, missed by three seconds and Michael Triantafillou, 45, missed by six.
As for the race itself, Michelle VanHorn found success there too, easily defeating the fifteen other female participants with a time of 28:45. Marsha Soergel, 23, took second place in 30:08, with Stonebrook fitness instructor Krista Farris, 35, taking third in 30:34. Mary Smith, 22, finished fourth in 31:48, followed by Vicky Krossman, 35, a little over a minute and a half later. 52-year-old Nancy Specht, one of only four people to have run all of the SVR's last six Predicted Time races, was the top female finisher over the age of 40, crossing the line in 36:49. Also participating was birthday girl Colleen Snyder, running her first race as a 49-year-old!
On the men's side, Robbie Olsen locked up the top place in the men's Winter Series standings with his third overall victory of the year. The 21-year-old Strasburg resident won the race handily in 23:17, with runner-up Brad Rippey left to watch from afar. Rippey, 38, kept himself ahead of the ever-improving Raymond Bollock, 39, to earn second in 23:55. Bollock improved on his 2004 Predicted Time 4 Miler performance by over a minute and a half to finish third in 24:10. The finish line volunteer crew then had to wait an eternity before fourth place finisher Karsten Brown, 30, moseyed across the line in 25:46. 47-year-old Mike Meadows (26:13) and 60-year-old Patrick Griffith (26:21) were the top Masters men.
As was done at last year's Predicted Time 4 Miler, a poll question was included on the race's finish cards, asking runners to predict which movie would win the Oscar for Best Picture at the following day's Academy Awards ceremony. Unlike last year, however, the participants failed to pick the right movie this time! The biopic "Ray" wound up as the Predicted Time 4 Miler's official choice, getting the most votes with twelve. But the Oscar went to Clint Eastwood's "Million Dollar Baby", chosen by ten runners. Martin Scorsese's "The Aviator" picked up nine votes, while "Finding Neverland" and "Sideways" were considerably less popular.
Many thanks to race director Terry Leckie for putting together another fine Predicted Time 4 Miler! Thanks as well to his crew of invaluable volunteers, including Kelly Stallard, Meesh Mitchell, Raylene Scott, Nancy Bullock, Jason Page, Alexander Snyder, Patrick Farris, Neal Riemenschneider, and results guy Karsten Brown. And a big thank-you to the good people of the Stonebrook Racquet & Fitness Club for letting the SVR hold the race at their fine facility for a third year! (If you're interested in joining Stonebrook, give 'em a call at 540-662-7546.)
RacePacket Home
Prediction Finishers
# NAME AGE SEX CITY, STATE PREDICT ACTUAL DIFFERENCE O'ALL IN SEX
1. Michelle VanHorn 23 F Harpers Ferry, WV 28:45 28:45 exact - 0:00 15th 1st
Doug Morris 66 M Delaplane, VA 32:30 32:30 exact - 0:00 31st 27th
3. Neal Riemenschneider 50 M Winchester, VA 28:00 28:01 low by 0:01 12th 12th
4. Ian Morris 26 M Ranson, WV 30:30 30:27 high by 0:03 24th 22nd
5. Michael Triantafillou 45 M Winchester, VA 30:00 30:06 low by 0:06 21st 20th
6. Karsten Brown 30 M Front Royal, VA 25:39 25:46 low by 0:07 4th 4th
7. Glenn Gravatt 47 M Harpers Ferry, WV 27:59 28:08 low by 0:09 13th 13th
8. Raymond Bollock 39 M Winchester, VA 24:20 24:10 high by 0:10 3rd 3rd
9. Dave Gearhart 50 M Winchester, VA 29:51 29:40 high by 0:11 20th 19th
10. John Shelburne 43 M Winchester, VA 27:45 27:25 high by 0:20 9th 9th
11. John Volinsky 44 M Winchester, VA 29:40 29:18 high by 0:22 18th 17th
12. Robbie Olsen 21 M Strasburg, VA 22:51 23:17 low by 0:26 1st 1st
13. Vicky Krossman 35 F Winchester, VA 32:56 33:25 low by 0:29 34th 5th
14. Brad Rippey 38 M Bunker Hill, WV 23:25 23:55 low by 0:30 2nd 2nd
Terry Leckie 41 M Front Royal, VA 28:47 29:17 low by 0:30 17th 16th
16. Michael Brosenne 27 M Columbia, MD 26:45 27:17 low by 0:32 8th 8th
17. Joel McKenzie 43 M Stephens City, VA 28:10 27:35 high by 0:35 10th 10th
Ed Mayhew 59 M Winchester, VA 31:30 32:05 low by 0:35 30th 26th
19. Moe Morris 52 M Hagerstown, MD 31:31 30:54 high by 0:37 27th 24th
20. Mike Meadows 47 M Martinsburg, WV 25:32 26:13 low by 0:41 5th 5th
21. Connie McKenzie 14 F Stephens City, VA 42:00 42:42 low by 0:42 47th 11th
22. Bill Senseney 56 M Charles Town, WV 27:08 27:53 low by 0:45 11th 11th
Woody Long 66 M Arlington, VA 47:00 47:45 low by 0:45 52nd 37th
24. Nancy Specht 52 F Bunker Hill, WV 36:00 36:49 low by 0:49 39th 7th
25. James Channell 40 M Stephens City, VA 35:55 36:45 low by 0:50 38th 32nd
26. Sarah Smaltz 12 F Ashburn, VA 36:43 37:34 low by 0:51 41st 8th
27. Mary Smith 22 F Sterling, VA 30:55 31:48 low by 0:53 29th 4th
28. Duane Williamson 41 M Warrenton, VA 27:20 28:14 low by 0:54 14th 14th
29. Krista Farris 35 F Winchester, VA 31:30 30:34 high by 0:56 26th 3rd
Pat Griffith 60 M Alexandria, VA 25:25 26:21 low by 0:56 6th 6th
31. Bob Fletcher 47 M Stephens City, VA 36:25 35:25 high by 1:00 35th 30th
32. Tom Aldstadt 45 M Winchester, VA 29:30 30:33 low by 1:03 25th 23rd
33. Jim Shaughnessy 44 M Winchester, VA 27:50 28:54 low by 1:04 16th 15th
34. Vince Wertz 42 M Martinsburg, WV 36:30 37:41 low by 1:11 42nd 34th
35. Peter Blank 50 M Annandale, VA 29:00 30:17 low by 1:17 23rd 21st
36. Bill Blackstone 38 M Winchester, VA 28:10 26:50 high by 1:20 7th 7th
37. Randy Wingfield 59 M Winchester, VA 28:10 29:36 low by 1:26 19th 18th
38. Marsha Soergel 23 F Manassas, VA 31:40 30:08 high by 1:32 22nd 2nd
Paul Grosz 55 M Stephens City, VA 35:50 37:22 low by 1:32 40th 33rd
40. Patty Joyce 50 F Falls Church, VA 44:44 43:06 high by 1:38 48th 12th
41. Ed Grainger 60 M Stephens City, VA 34:00 35:40 low by 1:40 36th 31st
42. Colleen Snyder 49 F Linden, VA 42:27 44:14 low by 1:47 50th 14th
43. Sarah Gough 32 F Delaplane, VA 38:38 36:42 high by 1:56 37th 6th
Don Smaltz 43 M Ashburn, VA 31:20 33:16 low by 1:56 33rd 29th
Robert Gurtler 70 M The Plains, VA 37:02 38:58 low by 1:56 43rd 35th
46. Carol Culvyhouse 41 F Inwood, WV 42:00 44:26 low by 2:26 51st 15th
47. Kelsey Shroades 18 F Hedgesville, WV 39:00 42:05 low by 3:05 46th 10th
48. Glenn Luttrell 62 M Winchester, VA 37:20 41:49 low by 4:29 45th 36th
49. Roy McKenzie 16 M Stephens City, VA 28:00 32:45 low by 4:45 32nd 28th
50. Carolyn Channell 39 F Stephens City, VA 49:20 54:14 low by 4:54 53rd 16th
51. Meg Roque 28 F Winchester, VA 35:14 40:18 low by 5:04 44th 9th
52. Jessica Smaltz 16 F Ashburn, VA 38:00 43:54 low by 5:54 49th 13th
53. Myron Kremer 47 M Winchester, VA 37:38 31:37 high by 6:01 28th 25th
Event Calendar | Grand Prix Standings | Race Results | Subscribe to racePacket |
Sign the Guestbook | About racePacket | Cool Sites | On-Line Store |